Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 3.884977 4.159854 4.453197 4.791022 5.171208 5.588054 6.082716
2025-07-13 3.428611 3.807092 4.235618 4.762449 5.400851 6.160496 7.150351
2025-07-20 3.202914 3.647535 4.172523 4.849857 5.718902 6.824144 8.385656
2025-07-27 3.046214 3.538656 4.139893 4.947008 6.034253 7.501318 9.737593
2025-08-03 2.883917 3.401521 4.050104 4.948705 6.208482 7.996098 10.912239
2025-08-10 2.713065 3.236956 3.906516 4.857192 6.232935 8.267298 11.784118
2025-08-17 2.554795 3.076190 3.753236 4.733967 6.191187 8.423274 12.485313
2025-08-24 2.436696 2.959814 3.649562 4.668386 6.222415 8.689501 13.428634
2025-08-31 2.368736 2.905241 3.624769 4.711227 6.419079 9.247136 15.052142
2025-09-07 2.297921 2.842019 3.582584 4.722703 6.564013 9.733920 16.669441
2025-09-14 2.184281 2.714093 3.441212 4.572998 6.429472 9.699174 17.135451
2025-09-21 2.097100 2.618995 3.341746 4.480404 6.380663 9.814691 17.983463
2025-09-28 2.018824 2.535224 3.257486 4.410674 6.372731 10.023929 19.180764
2025-10-05 1.957941 2.473738 3.203076 4.385005 6.440261 10.396175 20.964570
2025-10-12 1.929130 2.456363 3.212426 4.461624 6.697459 11.202911 24.377304
2025-10-19 1.904353 2.443284 3.226863 4.546707 6.979107 12.121237 28.746389
2025-10-26 1.860773 2.400611 3.193487 4.548191 7.100469 12.699984 32.363004
2025-11-02 1.800787 2.331372 3.115680 4.468050 7.052573 12.863612 34.469888
2025-11-09 1.737909 2.255749 3.024840 4.359956 6.938785 12.845388 35.809323
2025-11-16 1.690050 2.201049 2.964719 4.302345 6.922997 13.077943 38.554504
2025-11-23 1.665982 2.181187 2.958702 4.339986 7.108416 13.882696 45.129759
2025-11-30 1.637274 2.153200 2.938292 4.350065 7.236077 14.560994 52.030254
2025-12-07 1.580371 2.080546 2.843157 4.218441 7.043129 14.276029 52.252871